Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-05-0809:45Oracle Park

Padres

Away

4-5

Giants

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Padres	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	4	6	1
Giants	0	0	2	0	2	0	1	0	X	5	4	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.9

Padres scoring tendency

42%

Own scoring 27%

Opponent allowing 57%

Giants scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 33%

Opponent allowing 24%

Sustained highCombined vs league +24pp

Inn.6

Padres scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 20%

Giants scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Inn.5

Padres scoring tendency

15%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 10%

Giants scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 35%

Heating upCombined vs league +1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Padres offense × Giants defense

42%R 27% · RA 57%

Giants offense × Padres defense

28%R 33% · RA 24%

Sample 12Combined vs league +24pp

Last 20 70% · Season 53% · +17pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

42%

-11pp

4–6 Middle

50%

-4pp

7–9 Late

51%

-0pp

F5 first five

43%

-10pp

F9 full game

47%

-5pp

Show team trends+

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

32 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 123Runs Allowed 107

Giants — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

31 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 138Runs Allowed 108

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Padres	R	28% 9/32	#331% 10/32	22% 7/32	31% 10/32	19% 6/32	#138% 12/32	#234% 11/32	25% 8/32	26% 6/23	17% 1/6
Padres	RA	16% 5/32	#131% 10/32	#231% 10/32	12% 4/32	#331% 10/32	25% 8/32	9% 3/32	19% 6/32	14% 4/28	33% 2/6
Giants	R	26% 8/31	23% 7/31	23% 7/31	16% 5/31	#132% 10/31	26% 8/31	#232% 10/31	17% 5/29	#326% 5/19	75% 3/4
Giants	RA	#323% 7/31	16% 5/31	16% 5/31	16% 5/31	13% 4/31	19% 6/31	#226% 8/31	17% 5/29	#139% 9/23	75% 3/4

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.