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Final
2021-05-0808:05
4-10
Astros
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Team123456789RHE
Blue Jays101000002460
Astros03002023X10150

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Blue Jays scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 15%
Astros scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp
#2
Inn.5
Blue Jays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Astros scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp
#3
Inn.3
Blue Jays scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Astros scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league -0pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Astros defense
25%R 35% · RA 15%
Astros offense × Blue Jays defense
40%R 50% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +11pp
Last 20 65% · Season 65% · -0pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
48%
-5pp
4–6 Middle
61%
+7pp
7–9 Late
48%
-3pp
F5 first five
54%
+1pp
F9 full game
52%
-0pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

30 games
081624321881232522214315204917521761397161185192210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 144Runs Allowed 114

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

31 games
07152230151011582141032419416215141461311713188241093210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.91.92.83.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 151Runs Allowed 123
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR30% 9/3030% 9/30#333% 10/3027% 8/3023% 7/30#137% 11/3033% 10/30#236% 10/2813% 3/2350% 2/4
RA23% 7/30#137% 11/3020% 6/30#330% 9/30#233% 10/3017% 5/3020% 6/3025% 7/285% 1/1925% 1/4
AstrosR26% 8/31#329% 9/3116% 5/31#248% 15/3126% 8/3126% 8/3126% 8/3116% 5/31#152% 13/25100% 1/1
RA19% 6/3113% 4/3126% 8/3126% 8/31#135% 11/3123% 7/3123% 7/31#329% 9/31#229% 7/24100% 1/1

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.