Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-05-0807:05Yankee Stadium

Nationals

Away

11-4

Yankees

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Nationals	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	6	2	11	10	0
Yankees	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	4	5	3

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.4

Nationals scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 40%

Yankees scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp

Inn.3

Nationals scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 15%

Yankees scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +2pp

Inn.5

Nationals scoring tendency

15%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 15%

Yankees scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 35%

Heating upCombined vs league +1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Yankees defense

38%R 35% · RA 40%

Yankees offense × Nationals defense

30%R 25% · RA 35%

Sample 20Combined vs league +13pp

Last 20 68% · Season 57% · +11pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

47%

-6pp

4–6 Middle

53%

-0pp

7–9 Late

44%

-7pp

F5 first five

52%

-1pp

F9 full game

48%

-4pp

Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

27 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 93Runs Allowed 115

Yankees — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

31 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 127Runs Allowed 109

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Nationals	R	#326% 7/27	22% 6/27	#230% 8/27	26% 7/27	11% 3/27	22% 6/27	22% 6/27	#132% 8/25	20% 4/20	100% 1/1
Nationals	RA	22% 6/27	22% 6/27	#326% 7/27	26% 7/27	#230% 8/27	19% 5/27	#137% 10/27	20% 5/25	11% 2/18	100% 1/1
Yankees	R	13% 4/31	29% 9/31	#335% 11/31	26% 8/31	#139% 12/31	16% 5/31	19% 6/31	#239% 12/31	9% 2/22	40% 2/5
Yankees	RA	#326% 8/31	#229% 9/31	26% 8/31	#135% 11/31	16% 5/31	19% 6/31	26% 8/31	13% 4/31	23% 6/26	80% 4/5

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.