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Final
2021-05-0802:20Wrigley Field
2-3
Cubs
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Pirates000000002291
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Pirates scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +18pp
#2
Inn.3
Pirates scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp
#3
Inn.6
Pirates scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 45%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Pirates offense × Cubs defense
32%R 25% · RA 40%
Cubs offense × Pirates defense
38%R 35% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +18pp
Last 20 70% · Season 74% · -4pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
62%
+10pp
4–6 Middle
60%
+6pp
7–9 Late
38%
-12pp
F5 first five
60%
+7pp
F9 full game
54%
+1pp
Show team trends+

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

30 games
01021324314341201829123118412165102061212712985691 10+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 106Runs Allowed 135

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

31 games
091928382228113152231231817415135173061019717786595610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 146Runs Allowed 152
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PiratesR#327% 8/30#130% 9/3020% 6/3020% 6/3023% 7/3023% 7/3023% 7/30#229% 8/289% 2/23100% 1/1
RA#150% 15/3033% 10/30#240% 12/3020% 6/3027% 8/30#337% 11/3028% 8/2925% 7/2811% 2/190% 0/1
CubsR#335% 11/3126% 8/31#139% 12/3126% 8/3123% 7/3129% 9/3120% 6/30#237% 11/3017% 4/2380% 4/5
RA#235% 11/3116% 5/3123% 7/3132% 10/3126% 8/31#139% 12/31#335% 11/3113% 4/305% 1/2280% 4/5

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.