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Final
2021-05-0608:10Petco Park
2-4
Padres
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Pirates scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 15%
Padres scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp
#2
Inn.2
Pirates scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Padres scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp
#3
Inn.6
Pirates scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 35%
Padres scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Pirates offense × Padres defense
20%R 25% · RA 15%
Padres offense × Pirates defense
40%R 35% · RA 45%
Sample 20Combined vs league +7pp
Last 20 60% · Season 62% · -2pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
58%
+5pp
4–6 Middle
52%
-1pp
7–9 Late
42%
-10pp
F5 first five
55%
+1pp
F9 full game
51%
-2pp
Show team trends+

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

29 games
0102132431434120182911311841215581861212712985691 10+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 104Runs Allowed 131

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

31 games
061218241681141629173114410185151961757168810491610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 119Runs Allowed 105
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PiratesR#328% 8/29#131% 9/2921% 6/2921% 6/2924% 7/2921% 6/2924% 7/29#230% 8/279% 2/22100% 1/1
RA#152% 15/29#334% 10/29#238% 11/2921% 6/2924% 7/2934% 10/2929% 8/2826% 7/2711% 2/190% 0/1
PadresR29% 9/31#332% 10/3119% 6/3132% 10/3116% 5/31#135% 11/31#235% 11/3126% 8/3126% 6/2317% 1/6
RA16% 5/31#132% 10/31#232% 10/3113% 4/31#332% 10/3123% 7/3110% 3/3119% 6/3115% 4/2733% 2/6

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.