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Final
2021-05-0607:40Wrigley Field
5-6
Cubs
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Dodgers scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp
#2
Inn.1
Dodgers scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp
#3
Inn.6
Dodgers scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Dodgers offense × Cubs defense
35%R 40% · RA 30%
Cubs offense × Dodgers defense
35%R 45% · RA 25%
Sample 20Combined vs league +15pp
Last 20 70% · Season 62% · +8pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
58%
+5pp
4–6 Middle
56%
+2pp
7–9 Late
49%
-3pp
F5 first five
57%
+3pp
F9 full game
54%
+2pp
Show team trends+

Dodgers — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

31 games
0816243217111217221931111469525106201971820851098810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.81.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 152Runs Allowed 114

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

30 games
091827372228113152231231816413125172961019716786592410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 140Runs Allowed 147
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
DodgersR26% 8/3129% 9/31#139% 12/3119% 6/3119% 6/31#235% 11/31#335% 11/3133% 10/3023% 5/2233% 3/9
RA23% 7/3119% 6/3123% 7/31#329% 9/3119% 6/3119% 6/31#230% 9/30#133% 10/3024% 6/2556% 5/9
CubsR#237% 11/3027% 8/30#140% 12/3027% 8/3020% 6/3030% 9/3021% 6/29#334% 10/2918% 4/2267% 2/3
RA#137% 11/3017% 5/3023% 7/3030% 9/3023% 7/30#237% 11/30#337% 11/3014% 4/295% 1/2167% 2/3

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.