Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-05-0510:10T-Mobile Park

Orioles

Away

2-5

Mariners

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Orioles	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	2	7	0
Mariners	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	4	X	5	6	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.5

Orioles scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 20%

Mariners scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp

Inn.3

Orioles scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Mariners scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp

Inn.8

Orioles scoring tendency

21%

Own scoring 29%

Opponent allowing 12%

Mariners scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 29%

Sustained highCombined vs league +2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Orioles offense × Mariners defense

22%R 25% · RA 20%

Mariners offense × Orioles defense

43%R 40% · RA 45%

Sample 20Combined vs league +11pp

Last 20 65% · Season 63% · +2pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

52%

-1pp

4–6 Middle

51%

-3pp

7–9 Late

44%

-7pp

F5 first five

55%

+1pp

F9 full game

49%

-3pp

Show team trends+

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

29 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 112Runs Allowed 121

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

30 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 122Runs Allowed 126

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Orioles	R	24% 7/29	14% 4/29	#228% 8/29	#131% 9/29	21% 6/29	21% 6/29	24% 7/29	#327% 7/26	17% 4/23	60% 3/5
Orioles	RA	24% 7/29	21% 6/29	28% 8/29	28% 8/29	#141% 12/29	#331% 9/29	24% 7/29	#235% 9/26	14% 3/21	60% 3/5
Mariners	R	23% 7/30	17% 5/30	#143% 13/30	20% 6/30	27% 8/30	27% 8/30	20% 6/30	#233% 9/27	#330% 6/20	100% 3/3
Mariners	RA	23% 7/30	27% 8/30	#233% 10/30	27% 8/30	#137% 11/30	17% 5/30	#330% 9/30	19% 5/27	15% 3/20	0% 0/3

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.