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Final
2021-05-0510:10Petco Park
2-1
Padres
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Team123456789RHE
Pirates0010010002100
Padres000000100141

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.2
Pirates scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Padres scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp
#2
Inn.1
Pirates scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 15%
Padres scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp
#3
Inn.6
Pirates scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 30%
Padres scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Pirates offense × Padres defense
35%R 35% · RA 35%
Padres offense × Pirates defense
30%R 25% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +14pp
Last 20 65% · Season 67% · -2pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
61%
+8pp
4–6 Middle
52%
-1pp
7–9 Late
42%
-9pp
F5 first five
56%
+3pp
F9 full game
52%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

28 games
0102132431434120182811311841215571861211712985691 10+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 102Runs Allowed 130

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

30 games
051117231681141629163114410185151861657168810491610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 118Runs Allowed 103
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PiratesR#329% 8/28#132% 9/2818% 5/2821% 6/2825% 7/2818% 5/2825% 7/28#231% 8/2610% 2/21100% 1/1
RA#154% 15/28#336% 10/28#239% 11/2821% 6/2825% 7/2836% 10/2826% 7/2727% 7/2611% 2/180% 0/1
PadresR30% 9/30#233% 10/3020% 6/30#333% 10/3017% 5/30#137% 11/3033% 10/3027% 8/3027% 6/2217% 1/6
RA17% 5/30#133% 10/30#330% 9/3013% 4/30#233% 10/3020% 6/3010% 3/3020% 6/3015% 4/2633% 2/6

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.