Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-05-0410:10T-Mobile Park

Orioles

Away

5-3

Mariners

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Orioles	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	0	5	8	0
Mariners	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	3	3	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.5

Orioles scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 25%

Mariners scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp

Inn.3

Orioles scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Mariners scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Inn.1

Orioles scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 30%

Mariners scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 25%

Heating upCombined vs league +2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Orioles offense × Mariners defense

25%R 25% · RA 25%

Mariners offense × Orioles defense

40%R 35% · RA 45%

Sample 20Combined vs league +11pp

Last 20 65% · Season 61% · +4pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

55%

+2pp

4–6 Middle

53%

-1pp

7–9 Late

46%

-5pp

F5 first five

56%

+3pp

F9 full game

51%

-1pp

Show team trends+

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

28 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 107Runs Allowed 118

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

29 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 119Runs Allowed 121

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Orioles	R	#325% 7/28	14% 4/28	#229% 8/28	#132% 9/28	21% 6/28	21% 6/28	25% 7/28	24% 6/25	18% 4/22	60% 3/5
Orioles	RA	25% 7/28	21% 6/28	29% 8/28	29% 8/28	#139% 11/28	#232% 9/28	25% 7/28	#332% 8/25	15% 3/20	60% 3/5
Mariners	R	24% 7/29	17% 5/29	#145% 13/29	21% 6/29	24% 7/29	28% 8/29	21% 6/29	#331% 8/26	#232% 6/19	100% 3/3
Mariners	RA	24% 7/29	28% 8/29	#234% 10/29	28% 8/29	#138% 11/29	17% 5/29	#331% 9/29	15% 4/26	16% 3/19	0% 0/3

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.