Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-05-0410:10Petco Park

Pirates

Away

0-2

Padres

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Pirates	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	1
Padres	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	X	2	3	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.2

Pirates scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 35%

Padres scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp

Inn.1

Pirates scoring tendency

20%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 15%

Padres scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 50%

Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Inn.6

Pirates scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 30%

Padres scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Pirates offense × Padres defense

38%R 40% · RA 35%

Padres offense × Pirates defense

30%R 25% · RA 35%

Sample 20Combined vs league +17pp

Last 20 68% · Season 70% · -2pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

63%

+9pp

4–6 Middle

54%

+0pp

7–9 Late

42%

-9pp

F5 first five

58%

+4pp

F9 full game

53%

+0pp

Show team trends+

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

27 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 102Runs Allowed 128

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

29 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 116Runs Allowed 103

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Pirates	R	#330% 8/27	#133% 9/27	19% 5/27	22% 6/27	26% 7/27	19% 5/27	26% 7/27	#232% 8/25	10% 2/20	100% 1/1
Pirates	RA	#156% 15/27	#337% 10/27	#241% 11/27	22% 6/27	26% 7/27	37% 10/27	23% 6/26	28% 7/25	11% 2/18	0% 0/1
Padres	R	31% 9/29	#234% 10/29	21% 6/29	#334% 10/29	17% 5/29	#138% 11/29	31% 9/29	28% 8/29	27% 6/22	17% 1/6
Padres	RA	17% 5/29	#134% 10/29	#331% 9/29	14% 4/29	#234% 10/29	21% 6/29	10% 3/29	21% 6/29	16% 4/25	33% 2/6

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.