Sportify
Final
2021-05-0301:10Tropicana Field
Astros
Away
4-5
Rays
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Astros000121000482
Rays00003110X570

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.9
Astros scoring tendency
36%
Own scoring 47%
Opponent allowing 25%
Rays scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +29pp
#2
Inn.5
Astros scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 20%
Rays scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp
#3
Inn.7
Astros scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Rays scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 20%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Astros offense × Rays defense
36%R 47% · RA 25%
Rays offense × Astros defense
43%R 50% · RA 35%
Sample 15Combined vs league +29pp
Last 20 78% · Season 79% · -0pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
44%
-9pp
4–6 Middle
51%
-3pp
7–9 Late
55%
+4pp
F5 first five
49%
-4pp
F9 full game
50%
-3pp
Show team trends+

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

27 games
07142128147115821473171741417513961210710148221093210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.91.92.83.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 134Runs Allowed 101

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

28 games
0612182513141149212163917418145126610207813816992910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.11.72.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 114Runs Allowed 127
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
AstrosR26% 7/27#333% 9/2719% 5/27#241% 11/2726% 7/2726% 7/2726% 7/2715% 4/27#157% 12/21100% 1/1
RA19% 5/2715% 4/2722% 6/27#326% 7/27#133% 9/2719% 5/2722% 6/2726% 7/27#230% 7/23100% 1/1
RaysR#329% 8/2825% 7/2825% 7/2814% 4/2829% 8/2821% 6/28#232% 9/2821% 6/28#145% 10/2240% 2/5
RA25% 7/28#229% 8/2821% 6/28#132% 9/2825% 7/2818% 5/28#329% 8/2825% 7/2824% 6/2580% 4/5

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.