Scoring Analysis

Final

2026-05-1704:05Nationals Park

Orioles

Away

3-13

Nationals

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Orioles	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	3	10	0
Nationals	0	3	1	0	0	0	7	2	X	13	13	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.5

Orioles scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Nationals scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp

Inn.4

Orioles scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 35%

Nationals scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 20%

Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp

Inn.7

Orioles scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 30%

Nationals scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Orioles offense × Nationals defense

32%R 35% · RA 30%

Nationals offense × Orioles defense

40%R 40% · RA 40%

Sample 20Combined vs league +17pp

Last 20 72% · Season 71% · +1pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

53%

+1pp

4–6 Middle

62%

+8pp

7–9 Late

58%

+6pp

F5 first five

60%

+7pp

F9 full game

58%

+5pp

Show team trends+

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

45 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 195Runs Allowed 233

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

45 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 239Runs Allowed 258

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Orioles	R	16% 7/45	20% 9/45	27% 12/45	#236% 16/45	#333% 15/45	31% 14/45	#138% 17/45	24% 11/45	30% 10/33	50% 2/4
Orioles	RA	#331% 14/45	#233% 15/45	31% 14/45	29% 13/45	#140% 18/45	24% 11/45	27% 12/45	31% 14/45	26% 9/35	75% 3/4
Nationals	R	#138% 17/45	18% 8/45	29% 13/45	#236% 16/45	#331% 14/45	31% 14/45	31% 14/45	24% 11/45	24% 9/38	56% 5/9
Nationals	RA	27% 12/45	24% 11/45	36% 16/45	#138% 17/45	#238% 17/45	24% 11/45	33% 15/45	33% 15/45	#336% 13/36	67% 6/9

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.