Scoring Analysis

Final

2026-05-1702:15Busch Stadium

Royals

Away

2-4

Cardinals

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Royals	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	2	8	1
Cardinals	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	X	4	8	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.4

Royals scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Cardinals scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Inn.6

Royals scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 30%

Cardinals scoring tendency

20%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp

Inn.7

Royals scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 25%

Cardinals scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Royals offense × Cardinals defense

32%R 40% · RA 25%

Cardinals offense × Royals defense

30%R 35% · RA 25%

Sample 20Combined vs league +9pp

Last 20 62% · Season 60% · +3pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

48%

-4pp

4–6 Middle

58%

+3pp

7–9 Late

56%

+4pp

F5 first five

51%

-2pp

F9 full game

54%

+1pp

Show team trends+

Royals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

45 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 185Runs Allowed 206

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

44 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 204Runs Allowed 201

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Royals	R	20% 9/45	22% 10/45	18% 8/45	#136% 16/45	13% 6/45	#236% 16/45	#331% 14/45	29% 13/45	23% 8/35	75% 6/8
Royals	RA	27% 12/45	#133% 15/45	22% 10/45	27% 12/45	24% 11/45	18% 8/45	#231% 14/45	#331% 14/45	24% 8/33	62% 5/8
Cardinals	R	27% 12/44	16% 7/44	#234% 15/44	25% 11/44	#330% 13/44	27% 12/44	30% 13/44	#139% 17/44	19% 7/36	78% 7/9
Cardinals	RA	#334% 15/44	23% 10/44	14% 6/44	32% 14/44	34% 15/44	34% 15/44	16% 7/44	#236% 16/44	#138% 14/37	56% 5/9

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.