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Final
2021-04-2908:10
5-7
Astros
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Team123456789RHE
Mariners001310000571
Astros02000104X780

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Mariners scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Astros scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp
#2
Inn.9
Mariners scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 38%
Opponent allowing 31%
Astros scoring tendency
31%
Own scoring 53%
Opponent allowing 9%
Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp
#3
Inn.3
Mariners scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 20%
Astros scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mariners offense × Astros defense
32%R 25% · RA 40%
Astros offense × Mariners defense
38%R 30% · RA 45%
Sample 20Combined vs league +16pp
Last 20 70% · Season 66% · +4pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
49%
-2pp
4–6 Middle
57%
+3pp
7–9 Late
53%
+1pp
F5 first five
53%
+1pp
F9 full game
53%
+0pp
Show team trends+

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

24 games
0714212971117921619341241023519569137116810296 10+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.21.92.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 99Runs Allowed 100

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

23 games
061218241071138211531614414165129611107614819793210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.91.92.83.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 115Runs Allowed 92
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarinersR25% 6/2417% 4/24#138% 9/2412% 3/2421% 5/24#329% 7/2425% 6/2429% 6/21#231% 5/16100% 3/3
RA21% 5/2425% 6/24#238% 9/2429% 7/24#146% 11/2417% 4/24#338% 9/2414% 3/2113% 2/150% 0/3
AstrosR22% 5/23#335% 8/2317% 4/23#243% 10/2330% 7/2326% 6/2326% 6/2313% 3/23#161% 11/18100% 1/1
RA22% 5/2317% 4/2317% 4/2326% 6/23#135% 8/2322% 5/2326% 6/23#230% 7/23#326% 5/19100% 1/1

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.