Sportify
Final
2021-04-2907:07TD Ballpark
Team123456789RHE
Nationals0033200008110
Blue Jays000010010250

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Nationals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Blue Jays scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp
#2
Inn.7
Nationals scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Blue Jays scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp
#3
Inn.2
Nationals scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Blue Jays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Blue Jays defense
28%R 30% · RA 25%
Blue Jays offense × Nationals defense
35%R 40% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +9pp
Last 20 62% · Season 60% · +3pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
57%
+5pp
4–6 Middle
46%
-8pp
7–9 Late
49%
-4pp
F5 first five
52%
+0pp
F9 full game
50%
-2pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

20 games
0612182512101620210143674420510366157758619ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.2123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 67Runs Allowed 95

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

22 games
07142128166122132108310164511511669775783191210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 92Runs Allowed 77
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR#230% 6/2025% 5/20#330% 6/2015% 3/2010% 2/2030% 6/2025% 5/20#133% 6/1827% 4/15-
RA#230% 6/20#330% 6/2030% 6/2025% 5/2030% 6/2015% 3/20#145% 9/2022% 4/189% 1/11-
Blue JaysR#136% 8/22#236% 8/2223% 5/2223% 5/2223% 5/22#332% 7/2232% 7/2225% 5/2012% 2/1733% 1/3
RA23% 5/22#132% 7/2218% 4/22#232% 7/22#327% 6/2218% 4/2223% 5/2225% 5/208% 1/1333% 1/3

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.