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Final
2021-04-2906:40Citi Field
1-0
Mets
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.9
Red Sox scoring tendency
29%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 18%
Mets scoring tendency
39%
Own scoring 33%
Opponent allowing 44%
Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp
#2
Inn.4
Red Sox scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 21%
Mets scoring tendency
36%
Own scoring 42%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp
#3
Inn.1
Red Sox scoring tendency
23%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 16%
Mets scoring tendency
41%
Own scoring 21%
Opponent allowing 60%
Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Red Sox offense × Mets defense
29%R 40% · RA 18%
Mets offense × Red Sox defense
39%R 33% · RA 44%
Sample 10Combined vs league +17pp
Last 20 68% · Season 61% · +6pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
47%
-5pp
4–6 Middle
57%
+4pp
7–9 Late
55%
+3pp
F5 first five
53%
+0pp
F9 full game
53%
+0pp
Show team trends+

Red Sox — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

24 games
08162432171918921013316104256510106777197841395610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 121Runs Allowed 100

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

19 games
05111622781252373141149175211610276881049 110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 63Runs Allowed 74
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Red SoxR25% 6/2421% 5/2425% 6/24#142% 10/24#333% 8/2433% 8/2425% 6/24#240% 8/2031% 4/1360% 3/5
RA#154% 13/2417% 4/2421% 5/24#329% 7/2421% 5/2425% 6/2421% 5/2425% 5/20#240% 8/2060% 3/5
MetsR21% 4/1911% 2/1916% 3/19#142% 8/1932% 6/1911% 2/19#233% 6/1819% 3/16#333% 4/120% 0/1
RA16% 3/19#321% 4/1921% 4/1921% 4/19#137% 7/19#232% 6/1911% 2/1819% 3/1618% 2/11100% 1/1

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.