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2021-04-2808:10
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Mariners scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Astros scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 50%
Sustained highCombined vs league +20pp
#2
Inn.9
Mariners scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 38%
Opponent allowing 31%
Astros scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 56%
Opponent allowing 8%
Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp
#3
Inn.3
Mariners scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 20%
Astros scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mariners offense × Astros defense
32%R 25% · RA 40%
Astros offense × Mariners defense
42%R 35% · RA 50%
Sample 20Combined vs league +20pp
Last 20 75% · Season 69% · +6pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
52%
+2pp
4–6 Middle
58%
+4pp
7–9 Late
53%
+0pp
F5 first five
56%
+4pp
F9 full game
54%
+2pp
Show team trends+

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

23 games
0714212971117921619341041023519569137116810296 10+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.21.92.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 99Runs Allowed 98

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

22 games
061218241071138211531414414165129611107614819793210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.91.92.83.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 113Runs Allowed 92
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarinersR26% 6/2317% 4/23#139% 9/2313% 3/2322% 5/23#330% 7/2326% 6/2330% 6/20#233% 5/15100% 3/3
RA22% 5/2326% 6/23#239% 9/2326% 6/23#148% 11/2317% 4/23#339% 9/2315% 3/2013% 2/150% 0/3
AstrosR23% 5/22#336% 8/2218% 4/22#241% 9/2232% 7/2227% 6/2227% 6/2214% 3/22#161% 11/18100% 1/1
RA23% 5/2218% 4/2218% 4/2227% 6/22#136% 8/2223% 5/2227% 6/22#232% 7/22#328% 5/18100% 1/1

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.