Scoring Analysis

Final

2026-05-1609:40T-Mobile Park

Padres

Away

2-0

Mariners

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Padres	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	9	0
Mariners	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.8

Padres scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 40%

Mariners scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 25%

Heating upCombined vs league +14pp

Inn.6

Padres scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 35%

Mariners scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp

Inn.4

Padres scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 25%

Mariners scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 40%

Heating upCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Padres offense × Mariners defense

43%R 45% · RA 40%

Mariners offense × Padres defense

28%R 30% · RA 25%

Sample 20Combined vs league +14pp

Last 20 70% · Season 51% · +19pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

52%

+0pp

4–6 Middle

61%

+6pp

7–9 Late

58%

+6pp

F5 first five

54%

+1pp

F9 full game

57%

+4pp

Show team trends+

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

43 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 178Runs Allowed 181

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

45 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 191Runs Allowed 175

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Padres	R	14% 6/43	16% 7/43	19% 8/43	28% 12/43	#233% 14/43	28% 12/43	23% 10/43	#333% 14/43	#141% 14/34	100% 4/4
Padres	RA	16% 7/43	#130% 13/43	23% 10/43	#228% 12/43	23% 10/43	26% 11/43	#328% 12/43	26% 11/43	6% 2/35	50% 2/4
Mariners	R	#138% 17/45	31% 14/45	22% 10/45	22% 10/45	#238% 17/45	31% 14/45	20% 9/45	20% 9/45	#336% 13/36	50% 3/6
Mariners	RA	#133% 15/45	13% 6/45	#329% 13/45	20% 9/45	20% 9/45	#233% 15/45	18% 8/45	24% 11/45	28% 10/36	100% 6/6

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.