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Final
2021-04-2807:10Citi Field
2-1
Mets
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Mets010000000170

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.9
Red Sox scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 44%
Opponent allowing 20%
Mets scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 36%
Opponent allowing 44%
Sustained highCombined vs league +20pp
#2
Inn.4
Red Sox scoring tendency
31%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 22%
Mets scoring tendency
37%
Own scoring 44%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp
#3
Inn.1
Red Sox scoring tendency
23%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 17%
Mets scoring tendency
41%
Own scoring 22%
Opponent allowing 60%
Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Red Sox offense × Mets defense
32%R 44% · RA 20%
Mets offense × Red Sox defense
40%R 36% · RA 44%
Sample 9Combined vs league +20pp
Last 20 72% · Season 66% · +6pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
45%
-6pp
4–6 Middle
60%
+6pp
7–9 Late
59%
+6pp
F5 first five
53%
+1pp
F9 full game
55%
+2pp
Show team trends+

Red Sox — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

23 games
081624321719188291331610425659106777197841395610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 119Runs Allowed 99

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

18 games
05111622781152363141149175210610276881049 110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 62Runs Allowed 72
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Red SoxR26% 6/2322% 5/2322% 5/23#143% 10/23#335% 8/2330% 7/2326% 6/23#242% 8/1933% 4/1260% 3/5
RA#157% 13/2313% 3/2322% 5/23#330% 7/2322% 5/2326% 6/2322% 5/2326% 5/19#242% 8/1960% 3/5
MetsR22% 4/186% 1/1817% 3/18#144% 8/1833% 6/1811% 2/18#335% 6/1720% 3/15#236% 4/110% 0/1
RA17% 3/18#322% 4/1817% 3/1822% 4/18#139% 7/18#228% 5/1812% 2/1720% 3/1520% 2/10100% 1/1

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.