Sportify
Final
2021-04-2807:07TD Ballpark
Team123456789RHE
Nationals102000200591
Blue Jays00421020X9100

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.2
Nationals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 26%
Opponent allowing 30%
Blue Jays scoring tendency
33%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 32%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp
#2
Inn.1
Nationals scoring tendency
23%
Own scoring 26%
Opponent allowing 20%
Blue Jays scoring tendency
36%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 32%
Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp
#3
Inn.8
Nationals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 28%
Blue Jays scoring tendency
26%
Own scoring 28%
Opponent allowing 24%
Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Blue Jays defense
28%R 26% · RA 30%
Blue Jays offense × Nationals defense
33%R 35% · RA 32%
Sample 19Combined vs league +12pp
Last 20 61% · Season 65% · -3pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
55%
+4pp
4–6 Middle
46%
-7pp
7–9 Late
48%
-5pp
F5 first five
51%
-1pp
F9 full game
50%
-3pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

19 games
061218251110162028103654419510364137758619ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.3123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 62Runs Allowed 86

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

21 games
071421281651221326638164411511667575783191210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 83Runs Allowed 72
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR26% 5/1926% 5/1926% 5/1916% 3/1911% 2/19#232% 6/1921% 4/19#135% 6/17#329% 4/14-
RA#232% 6/19#332% 6/1926% 5/1921% 4/1926% 5/1916% 3/19#142% 8/1924% 4/179% 1/11-
Blue JaysR#138% 8/21#238% 8/2119% 4/2119% 4/2119% 4/21#333% 7/2129% 6/2126% 5/1912% 2/1733% 1/3
RA19% 4/21#133% 7/2114% 3/21#233% 7/21#329% 6/2119% 4/2119% 4/2126% 5/198% 1/1233% 1/3

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.