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Final
2021-04-2601:10Citi Field
0-4
Mets
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.7
Nationals scoring tendency
17%
Own scoring 22%
Opponent allowing 12%
Mets scoring tendency
41%
Own scoring 38%
Opponent allowing 44%
Sustained highCombined vs league +1pp
#2
Inn.8
Nationals scoring tendency
29%
Own scoring 38%
Opponent allowing 21%
Mets scoring tendency
23%
Own scoring 21%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +1pp
#3
Inn.5
Nationals scoring tendency
26%
Own scoring 11%
Opponent allowing 41%
Mets scoring tendency
26%
Own scoring 29%
Opponent allowing 22%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Mets defense
17%R 22% · RA 12%
Mets offense × Nationals defense
41%R 38% · RA 44%
Sample 16Combined vs league +1pp
Last 20 58% · Season 58% · +0pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
45%
-6pp
4–6 Middle
49%
-5pp
7–9 Late
53%
-0pp
F5 first five
47%
-5pp
F9 full game
49%
-4pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

18 games
06121825118162028103644418510364137758619ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.4123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 62Runs Allowed 82

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

17 games
05111622581152363131148175210610276881049 110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 58Runs Allowed 72
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR28% 5/1828% 5/1828% 5/1817% 3/1811% 2/18#233% 6/1822% 4/18#138% 6/16#331% 4/13-
RA#328% 5/18#233% 6/1828% 5/1817% 3/1822% 4/1817% 3/18#144% 8/1825% 4/169% 1/11-
MetsR18% 3/176% 1/1718% 3/17#141% 7/1729% 5/1712% 2/17#238% 6/1621% 3/14#336% 4/110% 0/1
RA18% 3/17#324% 4/1718% 3/1724% 4/17#141% 7/17#229% 5/1712% 2/1621% 3/1422% 2/9100% 1/1

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.