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Final
2021-04-2506:10Tropicana Field
3-5
Rays
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Team123456789RHE
Blue Jays300000000392
Rays01000202X561

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.2
Blue Jays scoring tendency
39%
Own scoring 42%
Opponent allowing 35%
Rays scoring tendency
31%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 32%
Sustained highCombined vs league +21pp
#2
Inn.7
Blue Jays scoring tendency
33%
Own scoring 32%
Opponent allowing 35%
Rays scoring tendency
31%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 21%
Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp
#3
Inn.8
Blue Jays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 29%
Opponent allowing 35%
Rays scoring tendency
24%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 24%
Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Rays defense
39%R 42% · RA 35%
Rays offense × Blue Jays defense
31%R 30% · RA 32%
Sample 19Combined vs league +21pp
Last 20 69% · Season 69% · +0pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
56%
+5pp
4–6 Middle
51%
-2pp
7–9 Late
55%
+0pp
F5 first five
55%
+3pp
F9 full game
54%
+1pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

19 games
071421281351221226638164311511467575583191210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 79Runs Allowed 67

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

20 games
0612182410711382121239134151358569197613813492910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.11.72.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 97Runs Allowed 103
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR#237% 7/19#142% 8/1921% 4/1921% 4/1916% 3/19#337% 7/1932% 6/1929% 5/1713% 2/1533% 1/3
RA21% 4/19#232% 6/1916% 3/19#137% 7/19#332% 6/1916% 3/1921% 4/1924% 4/179% 1/1133% 1/3
RaysR25% 5/2030% 6/20#335% 7/2020% 4/2030% 6/2020% 4/20#240% 8/2025% 5/20#147% 8/1740% 2/5
RA20% 4/20#135% 7/2020% 4/2030% 6/2030% 6/2020% 4/20#235% 7/20#335% 7/2018% 3/1780% 4/5

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.