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Final
2021-04-2504:05Citi Field
7-1
Mets
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Team123456789RHE
Nationals1121200007100
Mets000100000161

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.7
Nationals scoring tendency
18%
Own scoring 24%
Opponent allowing 13%
Mets scoring tendency
44%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 47%
Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp
#2
Inn.8
Nationals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 23%
Mets scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 23%
Opponent allowing 27%
Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp
#3
Inn.9
Nationals scoring tendency
29%
Own scoring 33%
Opponent allowing 25%
Mets scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 10%
Sustained highCombined vs league +1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Mets defense
18%R 24% · RA 13%
Mets offense × Nationals defense
44%R 40% · RA 47%
Sample 15Combined vs league +3pp
Last 20 62% · Season 62% · +0pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
42%
-9pp
4–6 Middle
46%
-8pp
7–9 Late
58%
+3pp
F5 first five
43%
-9pp
F9 full game
48%
-4pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

17 games
06121825108152026103534218510364137758619ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.5123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 55Runs Allowed 81

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

16 games
0491419571142343121048155210610276881049 110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 57Runs Allowed 65
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR24% 4/1724% 4/1724% 4/1712% 2/176% 1/17#235% 6/1724% 4/17#140% 6/15#333% 4/12-
RA#329% 5/17#235% 6/1729% 5/1712% 2/1724% 4/1718% 3/17#147% 8/1727% 4/1510% 1/10-
MetsR19% 3/166% 1/1619% 3/16#338% 6/1631% 5/1612% 2/16#140% 6/1523% 3/13#240% 4/100% 0/1
RA12% 2/1619% 3/1612% 2/1619% 3/16#138% 6/16#231% 5/1613% 2/1523% 3/13#325% 2/8100% 1/1

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.