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Final
2021-04-2407:10Tropicana Field
5-3
Rays
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Team123456789RHE
Blue Jays400001000563
Rays000030000350

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.2
Blue Jays scoring tendency
41%
Own scoring 44%
Opponent allowing 37%
Rays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 32%
Opponent allowing 33%
Sustained highCombined vs league +25pp
#2
Inn.7
Blue Jays scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 33%
Opponent allowing 37%
Rays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 42%
Opponent allowing 22%
Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp
#3
Inn.8
Blue Jays scoring tendency
34%
Own scoring 31%
Opponent allowing 37%
Rays scoring tendency
26%
Own scoring 26%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Rays defense
41%R 44% · RA 37%
Rays offense × Blue Jays defense
32%R 32% · RA 33%
Sample 18Combined vs league +25pp
Last 20 73% · Season 73% · +0pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
57%
+6pp
4–6 Middle
50%
-3pp
7–9 Late
58%
+3pp
F5 first five
56%
+4pp
F9 full game
55%
+2pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

18 games
0714212895122122663816438510467575583191210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 74Runs Allowed 64

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

19 games
0612182410311382121239134121358469197613813492910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.11.72.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 94Runs Allowed 98
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR#233% 6/18#144% 8/1822% 4/1822% 4/1817% 3/18#333% 6/1833% 6/1831% 5/1614% 2/1433% 1/3
RA22% 4/18#233% 6/1817% 3/18#139% 7/18#328% 5/1817% 3/1822% 4/1825% 4/1610% 1/1033% 1/3
RaysR26% 5/1932% 6/19#337% 7/1921% 4/1926% 5/1921% 4/19#242% 8/1926% 5/19#150% 8/1640% 2/5
RA16% 3/19#137% 7/1921% 4/1932% 6/1932% 6/1916% 3/19#237% 7/19#337% 7/1919% 3/1680% 4/5

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.