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Final
2021-04-2407:10Citi Field
0-6
Mets
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.7
Nationals scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 14%
Mets scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 36%
Opponent allowing 44%
Sustained highCombined vs league +1pp
#2
Inn.9
Nationals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 36%
Opponent allowing 29%
Mets scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 10%
Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp
#3
Inn.8
Nationals scoring tendency
34%
Own scoring 43%
Opponent allowing 25%
Mets scoring tendency
19%
Own scoring 17%
Opponent allowing 21%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Mets defense
20%R 25% · RA 14%
Mets offense × Nationals defense
40%R 36% · RA 44%
Sample 14Combined vs league +1pp
Last 20 59% · Season 59% · +0pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
45%
-6pp
4–6 Middle
47%
-6pp
7–9 Late
57%
+2pp
F5 first five
44%
-7pp
F9 full game
49%
-4pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

16 games
06121825108152026103534215510364127738619ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.6123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 55Runs Allowed 75

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

15 games
049141957114234312104515521069274881049 110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 51Runs Allowed 65
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR25% 4/1625% 4/1625% 4/1612% 2/166% 1/16#238% 6/1625% 4/16#143% 6/14#336% 4/11-
RA#331% 5/16#238% 6/1631% 5/1612% 2/1619% 3/1619% 3/16#144% 7/1621% 3/1410% 1/10-
MetsR20% 3/157% 1/1520% 3/15#140% 6/1527% 4/1513% 2/15#336% 5/1417% 2/12#240% 4/100% 0/1
RA13% 2/1520% 3/1513% 2/1520% 3/15#140% 6/15#233% 5/1514% 2/1425% 3/12#329% 2/7100% 1/1

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.