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Final
2021-04-2207:40Wrigley Field
Mets
Away
4-16
Cubs
Home
Team123456789RHE
Mets1010200004104
Cubs00073402X16130

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Mets scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 38%
Opponent allowing 31%
Cubs scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 15%
Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp
#2
Inn.6
Mets scoring tendency
26%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 38%
Cubs scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 31%
Sustained highCombined vs league +0pp
#3
Inn.1
Mets scoring tendency
23%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 31%
Cubs scoring tendency
26%
Own scoring 38%
Opponent allowing 15%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -0pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mets offense × Cubs defense
35%R 38% · RA 31%
Cubs offense × Mets defense
20%R 25% · RA 15%
Sample 13Combined vs league +3pp
Last 20 55% · Season 55% · +0pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
43%
-8pp
4–6 Middle
51%
-2pp
7–9 Late
46%
-9pp
F5 first five
46%
-6pp
F9 full game
47%
-6pp
Show team trends+

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

13 games
0371115471142213103431252668274681049ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.6123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 44Runs Allowed 45

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

16 games
0612182581415132933884625620621077282 91310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.91.92.83.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 54Runs Allowed 75
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MetsR15% 2/138% 1/1315% 2/13#238% 5/1323% 3/1315% 2/13#333% 4/1220% 2/10#150% 4/8-
RA15% 2/1323% 3/138% 1/1315% 2/13#138% 5/13#331% 4/1317% 2/1220% 2/10#233% 2/6-
CubsR#138% 6/1625% 4/16#238% 6/1625% 4/1612% 2/1625% 4/1612% 2/16#338% 6/169% 1/11100% 1/1
RA#231% 5/1625% 4/1619% 3/16#331% 5/1612% 2/16#138% 6/1631% 5/1612% 2/160% 0/12100% 1/1

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.