Scoring Analysis

Final

2026-05-1606:40PNC Park

Phillies

Away

11-9

Pirates

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H	E
Phillies	0	0	0	1	2	0	2	0	3	3	11	14	2
Pirates	0	0	6	0	1	1	0	0	0	1	9	11	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.5

Phillies scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 30%

Pirates scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 20%

Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Inn.6

Phillies scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 25%

Pirates scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp

Inn.1

Phillies scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 20%

Pirates scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -0pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Phillies offense × Pirates defense

28%R 25% · RA 30%

Pirates offense × Phillies defense

35%R 50% · RA 20%

Sample 20Combined vs league +7pp

Last 20 62% · Season 66% · -3pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

49%

-3pp

4–6 Middle

60%

+5pp

7–9 Late

45%

-7pp

F5 first five

53%

+0pp

F9 full game

51%

-2pp

Show team trends+

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

44 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 176Runs Allowed 207

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

44 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 220Runs Allowed 188

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Phillies	R	#132% 14/44	20% 9/44	23% 10/44	18% 8/44	#327% 12/44	18% 8/44	14% 6/44	#230% 13/44	20% 7/35	57% 4/7
Phillies	RA	#327% 12/44	23% 10/44	#139% 17/44	23% 10/44	27% 12/44	#239% 17/44	20% 9/44	25% 11/44	24% 8/34	57% 4/7
Pirates	R	#143% 19/44	27% 12/44	18% 8/44	20% 9/44	#241% 18/44	#334% 15/44	14% 6/44	25% 11/44	31% 10/32	57% 8/14
Pirates	RA	16% 7/44	14% 6/44	20% 9/44	#230% 13/44	#136% 16/44	23% 10/44	#325% 11/44	20% 9/44	24% 9/37	57% 8/14

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.