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Final
2021-04-1806:10Kauffman Stadium
2-3
Royals
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Team123456789RHE
Blue Jays0101000--251
Royals0020001-X391

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.2
Blue Jays scoring tendency
37%
Own scoring 46%
Opponent allowing 27%
Royals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 9%
Opponent allowing 46%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp
#2
Inn.6
Blue Jays scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 38%
Opponent allowing 45%
Royals scoring tendency
21%
Own scoring 27%
Opponent allowing 15%
Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp
#3
Inn.8
Blue Jays scoring tendency
33%
Own scoring 38%
Opponent allowing 27%
Royals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 36%
Opponent allowing 23%
Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Royals defense
37%R 46% · RA 27%
Royals offense × Blue Jays defense
28%R 9% · RA 46%
Sample 11Combined vs league +12pp
Last 20 64% · Season 64% · +0pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
61%
+8pp
4–6 Middle
54%
+2pp
7–9 Late
52%
-5pp
F5 first five
56%
+5pp
F9 full game
56%
+2pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

13 games
051117236511812264361142759365275481191210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 59Runs Allowed 51

Royals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

11 games
03711157101242683944525121068474582591 10+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 56Runs Allowed 52
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR31% 4/13#146% 6/1331% 4/1315% 2/1315% 2/13#238% 5/1331% 4/13#338% 5/139% 1/1133% 1/3
RA#331% 4/13#146% 6/1315% 2/13#238% 5/1331% 4/1315% 2/1315% 2/1323% 3/1311% 1/933% 1/3
RoyalsR27% 3/119% 1/11#136% 4/11#236% 4/1127% 3/1127% 3/11#336% 4/1136% 4/1133% 2/6100% 1/1
RA27% 3/1127% 3/11#236% 4/1118% 2/1118% 2/11#145% 5/1118% 2/1127% 3/11#333% 3/90% 0/1

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.