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Final
2021-04-1404:15Citi Field
0-4
Mets
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Phillies0000000--060
Mets000301--X490

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.9
Phillies scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 50%
Mets scoring tendency
48%
Own scoring 67%
Opponent allowing 29%
Sustained highCombined vs league +39pp
#2
Inn.7
Phillies scoring tendency
14%
Own scoring 11%
Opponent allowing 17%
Mets scoring tendency
50%
Own scoring 33%
Opponent allowing 67%
Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp
#3
Inn.5
Phillies scoring tendency
33%
Own scoring 33%
Opponent allowing 33%
Mets scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 33%
Opponent allowing 22%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Phillies offense × Mets defense
45%R 40% · RA 50%
Mets offense × Phillies defense
48%R 67% · RA 29%
Sample 4Combined vs league +39pp
Last 20 93% · Season 93% · +0pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
30%
-22pp
4–6 Middle
57%
+6pp
7–9 Late
61%
+3pp
F5 first five
41%
-10pp
F9 full game
49%
-5pp
Show team trends+

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

9 games
0369137612 221355474544611076283391 10+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 38Runs Allowed 35

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

6 games
036913 41 321 3414245 56517 581049ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.62.1123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 22Runs Allowed 27
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PhilliesR#333% 3/922% 2/922% 2/922% 2/933% 3/9#144% 4/911% 1/922% 2/9#240% 2/5100% 1/1
RA22% 2/90% 0/911% 1/9#233% 3/922% 2/922% 2/9#167% 6/911% 1/9#329% 2/70% 0/1
MetsR0% 0/60% 0/617% 1/6#233% 2/6#333% 2/60% 0/633% 2/60% 0/6#167% 4/6-
RA17% 1/6#333% 2/60% 0/617% 1/633% 2/6#150% 3/617% 1/617% 1/6#250% 2/4-

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.