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Final
2026-05-1502:10Daikin Park
8-3
Astros
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Team123456789RHE
Mariners3002020108110
Astros001002000350

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Mariners scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 50%
Astros scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 15%
Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp
#2
Inn.9
Mariners scoring tendency
41%
Own scoring 39%
Opponent allowing 43%
Astros scoring tendency
23%
Own scoring 17%
Opponent allowing 29%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp
#3
Inn.1
Mariners scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Astros scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mariners offense × Astros defense
45%R 40% · RA 50%
Astros offense × Mariners defense
28%R 40% · RA 15%
Sample 20Combined vs league +17pp
Last 20 73% · Season 76% · -4pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
58%
+5pp
4–6 Middle
59%
+5pp
7–9 Late
55%
+3pp
F5 first five
59%
+5pp
F9 full game
57%
+4pp
Show team trends+

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

44 games
081726352422120132162631916428165202561511717198181696810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 183Runs Allowed 172

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

44 games
0163248643025119242253231829433515211161434725168131895610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 203Runs Allowed 246
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarinersR#336% 16/4432% 14/4423% 10/4420% 9/44#139% 17/4430% 13/4420% 9/4418% 8/44#237% 13/3550% 3/6
RA#134% 15/4414% 6/4427% 12/4420% 9/4420% 9/44#232% 14/4418% 8/4425% 11/44#329% 10/35100% 6/6
AstrosR#239% 17/4425% 11/44#330% 13/4416% 7/44#143% 19/4420% 9/4425% 11/4430% 13/4417% 6/35100% 4/4
RA#336% 16/4432% 14/4432% 14/4432% 14/44#150% 22/4418% 8/4434% 15/4423% 10/44#239% 12/3150% 2/4

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.