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Final
2021-09-0101:10Citi Field
5-6
Mets
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Marlins0200120005101
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.9
Marlins scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 14%
Opponent allowing 67%
Mets scoring tendency
55%
Own scoring 60%
Opponent allowing 50%
Sustained highCombined vs league +43pp
#2
Inn.5
Marlins scoring tendency
29%
Own scoring 38%
Opponent allowing 20%
Mets scoring tendency
29%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 38%
Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp
#3
Inn.7
Marlins scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 20%
Mets scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Marlins offense × Mets defense
40%R 14% · RA 67%
Mets offense × Marlins defense
55%R 60% · RA 50%
Sample 3Combined vs league +43pp
Last 20 95% · Season 95% · +0pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
25%
-27pp
4–6 Middle
44%
-9pp
7–9 Late
64%
+5pp
F5 first five
34%
-18pp
F9 full game
44%
-10pp
Show team trends+

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

8 games
03710142312221 31 44652466374382119ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.7123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 24Runs Allowed 32

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

5 games
01357 41 121 3414135 36517 58549ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.7123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 16Runs Allowed 22
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarlinsR#225% 2/8#325% 2/812% 1/812% 1/8#138% 3/812% 1/825% 2/825% 2/814% 1/7-
RA12% 1/812% 1/80% 0/80% 0/8#238% 3/825% 2/825% 2/8#338% 3/8#150% 4/8-
MetsR0% 0/50% 0/520% 1/5#240% 2/520% 1/50% 0/5#340% 2/50% 0/5#160% 3/5-
RA#320% 1/520% 1/50% 0/520% 1/520% 1/5#240% 2/520% 1/520% 1/5#167% 2/3-

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.