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Final
2026-05-1408:10Daikin Park
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Astros
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Mariners scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 50%
Astros scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 15%
Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp
#2
Inn.1
Mariners scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Astros scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp
#3
Inn.3
Mariners scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Astros scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mariners offense × Astros defense
45%R 40% · RA 50%
Astros offense × Mariners defense
30%R 45% · RA 15%
Sample 20Combined vs league +19pp
Last 20 75% · Season 78% · -3pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
60%
+8pp
4–6 Middle
59%
+4pp
7–9 Late
55%
+3pp
F5 first five
62%
+8pp
F9 full game
58%
+5pp
Show team trends+

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

43 games
081726352322120132162631916428165192361511717188171696710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 180Runs Allowed 168

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

43 games
0163248643024119242253231829433515191061434724168131794610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.21.92.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 199Runs Allowed 243
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarinersR#335% 15/4333% 14/4323% 10/4321% 9/43#140% 17/4328% 12/4321% 9/4319% 8/43#235% 12/3460% 3/5
RA#135% 15/4314% 6/4328% 12/4321% 9/4321% 9/43#230% 13/4319% 8/4323% 10/43#329% 10/34100% 5/5
AstrosR#240% 17/4326% 11/43#330% 13/4316% 7/43#144% 19/4319% 8/4326% 11/4328% 12/4318% 6/34100% 3/3
RA#335% 15/4333% 14/4333% 14/4333% 14/43#151% 22/4316% 7/4335% 15/4323% 10/43#237% 11/3067% 2/3

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.