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Final
2026-05-1406:40Great American Ball Park
8-7
Reds
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Team12345678910RHE
Nationals04101000028101
Reds5010000001770

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Nationals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Reds scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp
#2
Inn.4
Nationals scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Reds scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp
#3
Inn.1
Nationals scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Reds scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Reds defense
35%R 40% · RA 30%
Reds offense × Nationals defense
38%R 45% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +17pp
Last 20 72% · Season 61% · +12pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
54%
+2pp
4–6 Middle
66%
+11pp
7–9 Late
60%
+8pp
F5 first five
61%
+8pp
F9 full game
60%
+7pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

42 games
0122436493919111282162433235428265173162920729298181698610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 227Runs Allowed 234

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

42 games
0112335472929115262618319374181552286820720208233198310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 168Runs Allowed 207
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR#140% 17/4217% 7/4229% 12/42#236% 15/4231% 13/4231% 13/42#333% 14/4224% 10/4225% 9/3650% 4/8
RA26% 11/4224% 10/42#336% 15/42#138% 16/42#238% 16/4226% 11/4233% 14/4233% 14/4235% 12/3462% 5/8
RedsR29% 12/4224% 10/4214% 6/42#231% 13/42#331% 13/4231% 13/4210% 4/4231% 13/42#134% 11/3250% 3/6
RA#333% 14/4226% 11/4229% 12/42#138% 16/4221% 9/4214% 6/4231% 13/4224% 10/42#234% 12/3550% 3/6

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.