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Final
2026-05-1308:10Daikin Park
10-2
Astros
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Mariners02041010210110
Astros011000000250

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Mariners scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 50%
Astros scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 15%
Sustained highCombined vs league +20pp
#2
Inn.1
Mariners scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Astros scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp
#3
Inn.3
Mariners scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Astros scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mariners offense × Astros defense
45%R 40% · RA 50%
Astros offense × Mariners defense
30%R 45% · RA 15%
Sample 20Combined vs league +20pp
Last 20 75% · Season 77% · -2pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
58%
+5pp
4–6 Middle
58%
+3pp
7–9 Late
53%
+1pp
F5 first five
59%
+6pp
F9 full game
56%
+3pp
Show team trends+

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

42 games
081725342322118122162531516427165192361411717188151696710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 170Runs Allowed 166

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

42 games
0153147633024118222243231825433505191061433724168131594610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.21.92.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 197Runs Allowed 233
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarinersR#236% 15/4231% 13/4224% 10/4219% 8/42#138% 16/4229% 12/4219% 8/4219% 8/42#333% 11/3360% 3/5
RA#136% 15/4212% 5/4226% 11/4221% 9/4221% 9/42#231% 13/4219% 8/4224% 10/42#330% 10/33100% 5/5
AstrosR#240% 17/4224% 10/42#329% 12/4217% 7/42#145% 19/4219% 8/4226% 11/4229% 12/4218% 6/33100% 3/3
RA#236% 15/4231% 13/4233% 14/4231% 13/42#150% 21/4217% 7/4233% 14/4224% 10/42#334% 10/2967% 2/3

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.