Scoring Analysis

Final

2026-05-1306:40Great American Ball Park

Nationals

Away

10-4

Reds

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Nationals	0	0	2	1	4	0	0	2	1	10	13	2
Reds	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	2	4	10	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Nationals scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 45%

Reds scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp

Inn.5

Nationals scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Reds scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp

Inn.4

Nationals scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Reds scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Reds defense

43%R 40% · RA 45%

Reds offense × Nationals defense

30%R 35% · RA 25%

Sample 20Combined vs league +14pp

Last 20 73% · Season 66% · +7pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

54%

+2pp

4–6 Middle

62%

+8pp

7–9 Late

57%

+4pp

F5 first five

59%

+6pp

F9 full game

58%

+5pp

Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

41 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 217Runs Allowed 230

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

41 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 164Runs Allowed 197

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Nationals	R	#141% 17/41	17% 7/41	27% 11/41	#234% 14/41	29% 12/41	32% 13/41	#334% 14/41	22% 9/41	23% 8/35	50% 4/8
Nationals	RA	27% 11/41	24% 10/41	#237% 15/41	#337% 15/41	#139% 16/41	27% 11/41	34% 14/41	34% 14/41	33% 11/33	62% 5/8
Reds	R	29% 12/41	24% 10/41	15% 6/41	29% 12/41	#232% 13/41	#332% 13/41	10% 4/41	32% 13/41	#132% 10/31	50% 3/6
Reds	RA	#234% 14/41	27% 11/41	27% 11/41	#137% 15/41	20% 8/41	15% 6/41	32% 13/41	22% 9/41	#332% 11/34	50% 3/6

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.