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2026-05-1208:10Daikin Park
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Astros
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Mariners021000000370
Astros000010000190

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Mariners scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Astros scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp
#2
Inn.5
Mariners scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 50%
Astros scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 10%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp
#3
Inn.9
Mariners scoring tendency
33%
Own scoring 38%
Opponent allowing 29%
Astros scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 28%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mariners offense × Astros defense
35%R 40% · RA 30%
Astros offense × Mariners defense
40%R 45% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +17pp
Last 20 75% · Season 76% · -1pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
58%
+5pp
4–6 Middle
59%
+4pp
7–9 Late
59%
+6pp
F5 first five
58%
+5pp
F9 full game
59%
+5pp
Show team trends+

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

41 games
081725342322116122152531516427155192361411717188151696710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 167Runs Allowed 165

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

41 games
0153147633024118202243131825432505191061433724168131594610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.21.92.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 196Runs Allowed 230
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarinersR#237% 15/4129% 12/4122% 9/4120% 8/41#139% 16/4129% 12/4120% 8/4120% 8/41#334% 11/3260% 3/5
RA#137% 15/4112% 5/4127% 11/4122% 9/4120% 8/41#232% 13/4120% 8/4124% 10/41#331% 10/32100% 5/5
AstrosR#241% 17/4124% 10/41#329% 12/4117% 7/41#144% 18/4120% 8/4127% 11/4129% 12/4119% 6/32100% 3/3
RA#237% 15/4129% 12/4132% 13/4132% 13/41#151% 21/4117% 7/4134% 14/4124% 10/41#336% 10/2867% 2/3

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.