Scoring Analysis

Final

2026-05-1104:10Petco Park

Cardinals

Away

2-3

Padres

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H	E
Cardinals	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	3	0
Padres	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1X	3	4	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.8

Cardinals scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Padres scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +18pp

Inn.5

Cardinals scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 25%

Padres scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Inn.7

Cardinals scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 45%

Padres scoring tendency

20%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 15%

Heating upCombined vs league +10pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Padres defense

32%R 35% · RA 30%

Padres offense × Cardinals defense

43%R 45% · RA 40%

Sample 20Combined vs league +18pp

Last 20 75% · Season 71% · +4pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

45%

-7pp

4–6 Middle

58%

+3pp

7–9 Late

64%

+10pp

F5 first five

52%

-2pp

F9 full game

56%

+2pp

Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

39 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 184Runs Allowed 180

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

39 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 167Runs Allowed 165

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Cardinals	R	28% 11/39	18% 7/39	#238% 15/39	21% 8/39	28% 11/39	26% 10/39	#331% 12/39	#144% 17/39	19% 6/31	83% 5/6
Cardinals	RA	#236% 14/39	23% 9/39	15% 6/39	33% 13/39	#336% 14/39	36% 14/39	13% 5/39	36% 14/39	#139% 13/33	50% 3/6
Padres	R	15% 6/39	18% 7/39	21% 8/39	28% 11/39	#236% 14/39	28% 11/39	26% 10/39	#333% 13/39	#137% 11/30	100% 3/3
Padres	RA	15% 6/39	#131% 12/39	23% 9/39	23% 9/39	23% 9/39	#328% 11/39	#231% 12/39	28% 11/39	6% 2/33	67% 2/3

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.