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Final
2026-05-0909:45Petco Park
6-0
Padres
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.7
Cardinals scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 45%
Padres scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp
#2
Inn.8
Cardinals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp
#3
Inn.2
Cardinals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 50%
Padres scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Padres defense
45%R 45% · RA 45%
Padres offense × Cardinals defense
25%R 30% · RA 20%
Sample 20Combined vs league +19pp
Last 20 70% · Season 53% · +17pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
51%
-2pp
4–6 Middle
59%
+4pp
7–9 Late
66%
+13pp
F5 first five
55%
+1pp
F9 full game
59%
+5pp
Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

37 games
091929391922181422483132542415520246207729318102799310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 176Runs Allowed 176

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

37 games
0919293981411131216173211342313515196182471921826396210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.21.92.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 163Runs Allowed 157
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CardinalsR30% 11/3719% 7/37#241% 15/3719% 7/3727% 10/3727% 10/37#332% 12/37#143% 16/3721% 6/2983% 5/6
RA#238% 14/3724% 9/3716% 6/3735% 13/3735% 13/37#338% 14/3714% 5/3735% 13/37#141% 13/3250% 3/6
PadresR16% 6/3719% 7/3722% 8/3730% 11/37#235% 13/3730% 11/3727% 10/37#332% 12/37#138% 11/29100% 3/3
RA16% 6/37#132% 12/3724% 9/3722% 8/3722% 8/37#330% 11/37#232% 12/3727% 10/376% 2/3167% 2/3

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.