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Final
2026-05-0810:10Petco Park
2-1
Padres
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.8
Cardinals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +21pp
#2
Inn.2
Cardinals scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 55%
Padres scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +21pp
#3
Inn.7
Cardinals scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Padres scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Padres defense
32%R 40% · RA 25%
Padres offense × Cardinals defense
45%R 45% · RA 45%
Sample 20Combined vs league +21pp
Last 20 78% · Season 71% · +7pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
54%
+1pp
4–6 Middle
58%
+2pp
7–9 Late
68%
+15pp
F5 first five
55%
+2pp
F9 full game
60%
+6pp
Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

36 games
091929391921181422483122542415520246197729318102799310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 174Runs Allowed 175

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

36 games
0919293971411131216173211242313515196182371921826396210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.21.92.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 162Runs Allowed 155
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CardinalsR#331% 11/3619% 7/36#242% 15/3617% 6/3628% 10/3628% 10/3631% 11/36#144% 16/3621% 6/2883% 5/6
RA#336% 13/3625% 9/3617% 6/3636% 13/3636% 13/36#239% 14/3614% 5/3636% 13/36#142% 13/3150% 3/6
PadresR14% 5/3619% 7/3622% 8/3631% 11/36#236% 13/3631% 11/3628% 10/36#333% 12/36#139% 11/28100% 3/3
RA17% 6/36#133% 12/3625% 9/3619% 7/3622% 8/36#231% 11/36#331% 11/3628% 10/367% 2/3067% 2/3

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.