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Final
2026-05-0701:10Tropicana Field
0-3
Rays
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.6
Blue Jays scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 30%
Rays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp
#2
Inn.5
Blue Jays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Rays scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Heating upCombined vs league +9pp
#3
Inn.1
Blue Jays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Rays scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 35%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Rays defense
38%R 45% · RA 30%
Rays offense × Blue Jays defense
32%R 40% · RA 25%
Sample 20Combined vs league +15pp
Last 20 70% · Season 66% · +4pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
47%
-5pp
4–6 Middle
61%
+6pp
7–9 Late
47%
-7pp
F5 first five
51%
-3pp
F9 full game
52%
-2pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

36 games
081726352021176216283141641417520236152272321812796510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 147Runs Allowed 166

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

35 games
081624321514117112141331284181952025618157172181513910510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 156Runs Allowed 144
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR28% 10/3614% 5/36#231% 11/3622% 8/3628% 10/36#139% 14/3628% 10/3628% 10/36#329% 8/2880% 4/5
RA#333% 12/368% 3/36#136% 13/36#236% 13/3631% 11/3631% 11/3628% 10/3628% 10/3624% 6/2580% 4/5
RaysR26% 9/3523% 8/35#329% 10/3526% 9/3526% 9/35#231% 11/3529% 10/35#134% 12/3525% 6/2475% 6/8
RA26% 9/3523% 8/3526% 9/359% 3/3526% 9/35#131% 11/3517% 6/35#231% 11/35#329% 8/2850% 4/8

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.