Scoring Analysis

Final

2026-05-0607:40Wrigley Field

Reds

Away

2-3

Cubs

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H	E
Reds	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	6	1
Cubs	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	1X	3	8	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.2

Reds scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 40%

Cubs scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 55%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +30pp

Inn.9

Reds scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Cubs scoring tendency

41%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 31%

Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp

Inn.8

Reds scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 40%

Cubs scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Reds offense × Cubs defense

38%R 35% · RA 40%

Cubs offense × Reds defense

40%R 55% · RA 25%

Sample 20Combined vs league +30pp

Last 20 78% · Season 64% · +13pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

66%

+13pp

4–6 Middle

59%

+4pp

7–9 Late

64%

+11pp

F5 first five

64%

+10pp

F9 full game

63%

+10pp

Show team trends+

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

35 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 145Runs Allowed 168

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

35 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 190Runs Allowed 147

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Reds	R	29% 10/35	29% 10/35	17% 6/35	#231% 11/35	29% 10/35	29% 10/35	11% 4/35	#134% 12/35	#330% 8/27	75% 3/4
Reds	RA	#137% 13/35	26% 9/35	31% 11/35	#237% 13/35	20% 7/35	14% 5/35	#334% 12/35	20% 7/35	31% 9/29	25% 1/4
Cubs	R	14% 5/35	#340% 14/35	#243% 15/35	29% 10/35	29% 10/35	31% 11/35	34% 12/35	37% 13/35	#146% 11/24	50% 2/4
Cubs	RA	17% 6/35	#134% 12/35	26% 9/35	23% 8/35	20% 7/35	#331% 11/35	23% 8/35	#234% 12/35	18% 5/28	25% 1/4

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.