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Final
2026-05-0606:40Tropicana Field
3-4
Rays
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Blue Jays110010000381
Rays00110002X4110

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.6
Blue Jays scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 30%
Rays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp
#2
Inn.5
Blue Jays scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Rays scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Heating upCombined vs league +7pp
#3
Inn.7
Blue Jays scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 20%
Rays scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Rays defense
40%R 50% · RA 30%
Rays offense × Blue Jays defense
32%R 40% · RA 25%
Sample 20Combined vs league +17pp
Last 20 73% · Season 68% · +4pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
44%
-8pp
4–6 Middle
60%
+5pp
7–9 Late
52%
-1pp
F5 first five
48%
-6pp
F9 full game
52%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

35 games
081725341921166216273141541317520236152272319812796510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 144Runs Allowed 162

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

34 games
081624321513117102131331184181852025618157152181513910510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 152Runs Allowed 141
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR26% 9/3511% 4/35#231% 11/3523% 8/3526% 9/35#140% 14/3529% 10/3529% 10/35#330% 8/2780% 4/5
RA#134% 12/359% 3/35#234% 12/35#334% 12/3531% 11/3531% 11/3529% 10/3526% 9/3524% 6/2580% 4/5
RaysR26% 9/3424% 8/3426% 9/3424% 8/3426% 9/34#132% 11/34#329% 10/34#232% 11/3425% 6/2475% 6/8
RA24% 8/3421% 7/3426% 9/349% 3/3424% 8/34#132% 11/3418% 6/34#232% 11/34#330% 8/2750% 4/8

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.