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Final
2026-05-0507:10Wrigley Field
Reds
Away
4-5
Cubs
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Reds0012000104100
Cubs000300002X560

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.2
Reds scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 45%
Cubs scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 55%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +35pp
#2
Inn.9
Reds scoring tendency
34%
Own scoring 43%
Opponent allowing 25%
Cubs scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp
#3
Inn.8
Reds scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Reds offense × Cubs defense
43%R 40% · RA 45%
Cubs offense × Reds defense
40%R 55% · RA 25%
Sample 20Combined vs league +35pp
Last 20 82% · Season 66% · +16pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
69%
+16pp
4–6 Middle
58%
+3pp
7–9 Late
65%
+11pp
F5 first five
66%
+12pp
F9 full game
64%
+10pp
Show team trends+

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

34 games
081725342727115232516312244131051966819718168162198110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.21.92.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 141Runs Allowed 163

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

34 games
010213243121212423234133141741814525246221671916815792110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 185Runs Allowed 143
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
RedsR#329% 10/3429% 10/3415% 5/3429% 10/3429% 10/3429% 10/3412% 4/34#132% 11/34#231% 8/2675% 3/4
RA#138% 13/3426% 9/3432% 11/34#235% 12/3421% 7/3415% 5/34#335% 12/3421% 7/3429% 8/2825% 1/4
CubsR15% 5/34#341% 14/34#144% 15/3426% 9/3429% 10/3432% 11/3435% 12/3438% 13/34#243% 10/2350% 2/4
RA18% 6/34#135% 12/3424% 8/3421% 7/3421% 7/34#232% 11/3424% 8/34#332% 11/3419% 5/2725% 1/4

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.