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Final
2026-05-0506:40Tropicana Field
1-5
Rays
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.6
Blue Jays scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 30%
Rays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp
#2
Inn.5
Blue Jays scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Rays scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Heating upCombined vs league +6pp
#3
Inn.7
Blue Jays scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 20%
Rays scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Rays defense
40%R 50% · RA 30%
Rays offense × Blue Jays defense
30%R 40% · RA 20%
Sample 20Combined vs league +15pp
Last 20 70% · Season 67% · +3pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
45%
-8pp
4–6 Middle
59%
+4pp
7–9 Late
54%
+1pp
F5 first five
48%
-5pp
F9 full game
53%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

34 games
081725341918166215273141541317520216152272319812796510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 143Runs Allowed 157

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

33 games
081624321213117102131231184181851825618157152181513910510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 147Runs Allowed 140
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR26% 9/3412% 4/34#329% 10/3424% 8/3426% 9/34#141% 14/3429% 10/3429% 10/34#231% 8/2680% 4/5
RA#332% 11/349% 3/34#135% 12/34#235% 12/3432% 11/3429% 10/3429% 10/3426% 9/3424% 6/2580% 4/5
RaysR24% 8/3324% 8/3327% 9/3324% 8/3327% 9/33#230% 10/33#330% 10/33#133% 11/3325% 6/2475% 6/8
RA24% 8/3321% 7/3324% 8/339% 3/3324% 8/33#133% 11/3318% 6/33#233% 11/33#331% 8/2650% 4/8

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.