Scoring Analysis

Final

2026-05-0404:10T-Mobile Park

Royals

Away

4-1

Mariners

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Royals	0	0	0	3	0	1	0	0	0	4	8	0
Mariners	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.9

Royals scoring tendency

36%

Own scoring 38%

Opponent allowing 35%

Mariners scoring tendency

33%

Own scoring 44%

Opponent allowing 23%

Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp

Inn.6

Royals scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Mariners scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Heating upCombined vs league +12pp

Inn.1

Royals scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 25%

Mariners scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Royals offense × Mariners defense

36%R 38% · RA 35%

Mariners offense × Royals defense

33%R 44% · RA 23%

Sample 13Combined vs league +15pp

Last 20 70% · Season 63% · +6pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

57%

+4pp

4–6 Middle

57%

+1pp

7–9 Late

60%

+6pp

F5 first five

55%

+0pp

F9 full game

58%

+4pp

Show team trends+

Royals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

33 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 136Runs Allowed 156

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

34 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 142Runs Allowed 137

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Royals	R	15% 5/33	27% 9/33	18% 6/33	27% 9/33	15% 5/33	#330% 10/33	#133% 11/33	#233% 11/33	23% 6/26	83% 5/6
Royals	RA	30% 10/33	#133% 11/33	18% 6/33	27% 9/33	21% 7/33	15% 5/33	#233% 11/33	30% 10/33	#333% 8/24	50% 3/6
Mariners	R	#141% 14/34	32% 11/34	15% 5/34	24% 8/34	#241% 14/34	29% 10/34	21% 7/34	18% 6/34	#341% 11/27	60% 3/5
Mariners	RA	#135% 12/34	15% 5/34	26% 9/34	21% 7/34	21% 7/34	#232% 11/34	24% 8/34	18% 6/34	#330% 8/27	100% 5/5

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.