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Final
2026-05-0402:20Wrigley Field
4-8
Cubs
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.2
Diamondbacks scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 45%
Cubs scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +24pp
#2
Inn.3
Diamondbacks scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 50%
Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp
#3
Inn.6
Diamondbacks scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Diamondbacks offense × Cubs defense
32%R 20% · RA 45%
Cubs offense × Diamondbacks defense
40%R 50% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +24pp
Last 20 73% · Season 61% · +11pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
65%
+12pp
4–6 Middle
63%
+8pp
7–9 Late
59%
+5pp
F5 first five
63%
+9pp
F9 full game
62%
+8pp
Show team trends+

Diamondbacks — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

32 games
0919283811301201029263191042223514276182172310861594110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 146Runs Allowed 173

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

33 games
010203040121212321232133141741514525246201671916815592110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 177Runs Allowed 139
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
DiamondbacksR#228% 9/3225% 8/3222% 7/32#134% 11/32#328% 9/3225% 8/3225% 8/3225% 8/3212% 3/2467% 2/3
RA#238% 12/3225% 8/32#141% 13/3219% 6/3225% 8/32#334% 11/3225% 8/3228% 9/3226% 6/2333% 1/3
CubsR15% 5/33#339% 13/33#242% 14/3327% 9/3327% 9/3333% 11/3333% 11/3339% 13/33#143% 10/2350% 2/4
RA18% 6/33#133% 11/3324% 8/3321% 7/3321% 7/33#233% 11/3324% 8/33#333% 11/3315% 4/2625% 1/4

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.