Scoring Analysis

Final

2026-05-0401:35PNC Park

Reds

Away

0-1

Pirates

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Reds	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	0
Pirates	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	X	1	5	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.5

Reds scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 45%

Pirates scoring tendency

42%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +26pp

Inn.1

Reds scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 20%

Pirates scoring tendency

50%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 50%

Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp

Inn.8

Reds scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Pirates scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Heating upCombined vs league +9pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Reds offense × Pirates defense

40%R 35% · RA 45%

Pirates offense × Reds defense

42%R 50% · RA 35%

Sample 20Combined vs league +26pp

Last 20 82% · Season 65% · +17pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

62%

+9pp

4–6 Middle

67%

+11pp

7–9 Late

55%

+1pp

F5 first five

66%

+12pp

F9 full game

61%

+7pp

Show team trends+

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

33 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 141Runs Allowed 162

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

34 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 179Runs Allowed 149

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Reds	R	#330% 10/33	30% 10/33	15% 5/33	30% 10/33	30% 10/33	30% 10/33	12% 4/33	#133% 11/33	#232% 8/25	75% 3/4
Reds	RA	#139% 13/33	27% 9/33	33% 11/33	#236% 12/33	21% 7/33	15% 5/33	#336% 12/33	18% 6/33	29% 8/28	25% 1/4
Pirates	R	#141% 14/34	26% 9/34	18% 6/34	26% 9/34	#238% 13/34	#332% 11/34	12% 4/34	29% 10/34	32% 8/25	64% 7/11
Pirates	RA	15% 5/34	15% 5/34	21% 7/34	#229% 10/34	#141% 14/34	24% 8/34	#329% 10/34	21% 7/34	21% 6/29	55% 6/11

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.