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Final
2026-05-0208:10Target Field
7-3
Twins
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Blue Jays0202201007110
Twins0020001003101

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Blue Jays scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 45%
Twins scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +23pp
#2
Inn.6
Blue Jays scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 25%
Twins scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp
#3
Inn.1
Blue Jays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Twins scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Twins defense
38%R 30% · RA 45%
Twins offense × Blue Jays defense
40%R 40% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +23pp
Last 20 78% · Season 71% · +6pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
47%
-6pp
4–6 Middle
62%
+7pp
7–9 Late
59%
+5pp
F5 first five
53%
-1pp
F9 full game
56%
+2pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

31 games
081624321916124215253121541113518216142171519810796510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 122Runs Allowed 146

Twins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

32 games
081624321910119132231932024413759186152572015816129 610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.91.92.83.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 154Runs Allowed 149
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR29% 9/316% 2/31#232% 10/3123% 7/3126% 8/31#139% 12/3129% 9/3129% 9/31#330% 7/2380% 4/5
RA29% 9/316% 2/31#235% 11/31#139% 12/3129% 9/31#332% 10/3129% 9/3129% 9/3126% 6/2380% 4/5
TwinsR25% 8/3225% 8/3222% 7/32#138% 12/3225% 8/3222% 7/3219% 6/32#331% 10/32#235% 8/230% 0/2
RA19% 6/3219% 6/3225% 8/32#244% 14/3212% 4/3225% 8/32#147% 15/32#331% 10/3227% 6/22100% 2/2

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.