Scoring Analysis

Final

2026-05-0206:45PNC Park

Reds

Away

1-9

Pirates

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Reds	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	3	0
Pirates	1	0	2	1	4	1	0	0	X	9	12	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.5

Reds scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 45%

Pirates scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +24pp

Inn.1

Reds scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 15%

Pirates scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 50%

Heating upCombined vs league +13pp

Inn.8

Reds scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 20%

Pirates scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 25%

Heating upCombined vs league +1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Reds offense × Pirates defense

43%R 40% · RA 45%

Pirates offense × Reds defense

38%R 45% · RA 30%

Sample 20Combined vs league +24pp

Last 20 80% · Season 63% · +17pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

58%

+6pp

4–6 Middle

59%

+4pp

7–9 Late

56%

+2pp

F5 first five

62%

+8pp

F9 full game

58%

+4pp

Show team trends+

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

31 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 133Runs Allowed 136

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

32 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 153Runs Allowed 141

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Reds	R	29% 9/31	29% 9/31	16% 5/31	#232% 10/31	29% 9/31	26% 8/31	13% 4/31	#332% 10/31	#135% 8/23	75% 3/4
Reds	RA	#235% 11/31	26% 8/31	#332% 10/31	32% 10/31	19% 6/31	13% 4/31	#139% 12/31	16% 5/31	29% 8/28	25% 1/4
Pirates	R	#138% 12/32	25% 8/32	16% 5/32	22% 7/32	#238% 12/32	31% 10/32	12% 4/32	28% 9/32	#332% 8/25	64% 7/11
Pirates	RA	12% 4/32	12% 4/32	22% 7/32	#231% 10/32	#141% 13/32	19% 6/32	#331% 10/32	19% 6/32	22% 6/27	55% 6/11

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.