Scoring Analysis

Final

2026-05-0101:10Citi Field

Nationals

Away

5-4

Mets

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Nationals	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	5	7	0
Mets	0	0	3	0	0	1	0	0	0	4	7	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Nationals scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 30%

Mets scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp

Inn.4

Nationals scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 25%

Mets scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp

Inn.8

Nationals scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 35%

Mets scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 20%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Mets defense

38%R 45% · RA 30%

Mets offense × Nationals defense

30%R 35% · RA 25%

Sample 20Combined vs league +11pp

Last 20 68% · Season 70% · -3pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

52%

+0pp

4–6 Middle

51%

-4pp

7–9 Late

51%

-3pp

F5 first five

52%

-1pp

F9 full game

51%

-2pp

Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

31 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 170Runs Allowed 181

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

30 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 102Runs Allowed 136

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Nationals	R	#145% 14/31	19% 6/31	26% 8/31	#335% 11/31	23% 7/31	#239% 12/31	29% 9/31	23% 7/31	25% 7/28	50% 4/8
Nationals	RA	26% 8/31	26% 8/31	35% 11/31	#142% 13/31	#239% 12/31	26% 8/31	35% 11/31	29% 9/31	#336% 9/25	62% 5/8
Mets	R	#137% 11/30	#230% 9/30	7% 2/30	17% 5/30	#330% 9/30	17% 5/30	10% 3/30	27% 8/30	8% 2/26	57% 4/7
Mets	RA	#233% 10/30	20% 6/30	#330% 9/30	17% 5/30	13% 4/30	#147% 14/30	23% 7/30	27% 8/30	26% 6/23	71% 5/7

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.